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The way-too-early odds to win Super Bowl LVI

Another NFL season is in the books, and NFL bettors are already thinking about next year. The odds are likely to change with offseason NFL personnel moves, but here’s a way too early look at the odds to win Super Bowl LVI. Odds from BetOnline, as of February 6, 2021.


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The Chiefs have a lot of free-agent decisions to make with a roster that’s likely to change more than it did a year ago, but the core of the team remains with Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, and company. With the coaching staff remaining intact, the Chiefs remain the clear favorites for a second straight year.


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Green Bay took a heartbreaking defeat in the NFC Championship, and have some key free-agent decisions to make like Corey Linsley and Kevin King. Still, the team is comfortable going into 2021 with Aaron Rodgers playing as well as ever. A new defensive coordinator could also have an impact, one way or another.


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It was a surprise to some how quickly the Bucs came on with 43-year-old Tom Brady under center, but the team has a lot of key free agents to make with stars like Shaq Barrett, Lavonte David, and Chris Godwin able to walk. There’s always the risk that Brady will fall off the proverbial age cliff, but somehow he’s fended off Father Time so far.


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Lamar Jackson regressed following his 2019 MVP and the criticism that he can’t win the big game remains. His payday will come due for the Ravens very soon, and the team would do well to surround him with more weapons. The potential loss of pass rushers Matt Judon and Yannick Ngakoue in free agency is also a big concern.


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Buffalo got so close to the Super Bowl this past season that the Bills Mafia can taste it. Josh Allen came into his own in his third season and has an excellent core around him. It could be time for the defense to get younger, especially up front, and there are also some decisions to make on what has been a strong offensive line.


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The Rams wasted little time in planning for 2021, pulling off a blockbuster trade for Matthew Stafford. Depth could become an issue with the organization continuing to disregard the top rounds of the draft, but there remains plenty of star power in LA. Stafford has a chance to have success with one of the most talented rosters he’s ever been on, filled with the star power of Robert Woods, Cooper Kupp, Aaron Donald, and Jalen Ramsey. Head coach Sean McVay fell into a rut with Jared Goff at quarterback but now has to be licking his chops.


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After advancing to the Super Bowl in 2019, the 49ers took a hard fell due to several major injuries. Head coach Kyle Shanahan still got the most out of his talent, and the core is set to return next season. There are still questions about whether Jimmy Garoppolo is the answer at quarterback, and veterans like Trent Williams and Richard Sherman could be lost in free agency.


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With the retirement of Drew Brees, the Saints have some major questions heading into 2021. It’s assumed that Taysom Hill will be their new starter, though that’s not a foregone conclusion. The team could be set to move forward without the likes of Jared cook, Sheldon Rankins, Alex Anzalone, and Marcus Williams, as well, though Sean Payton has shown that he can overcome change.


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Cleveland won a playoff game and also gave the Chiefs a huge challenge in the Divisional Round, so Browns fans have to look at the progress this past season. They’re still waiting on Baker Mayfield to fulfill the hype as a former No. 1 overall pick, but the supporting cast remains outstanding with Odell Beckham likely to return. There are some nice complementary pieces headed toward free agency, but Kevin Stefanski’s team has a chance to take another step forward in 2021.


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After a great start, Seattle’s offense stagnated in the second half of 2020. As a result, the team moved on from offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer. The Seahawks have a long list of unrestricted free agents this offseason but have shown relative consistency since Russell Wilson has come on board.


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No team took a bigger step forward in 2000 than the Dolphins, though they still came up just short on a playoff spot. After Tua Tagovailoa’s rookie season, there are questions about him as the answer at quarterback, but the strong defense should give him some leeway next season.


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The Colts had a strong rebound in 2020 with a great defense and better quarterback play with Philip Rivers. It’s completely unclear who will be the team’s signal-caller next season after Rivers’ retirement, and the team also has to decide what to do with free agents T.Y. Hilton and Justin Houston, among others. Indy’s Super Bowl odds could improve sharply if they find a proven veteran to help head coach Frank Reich and company.


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The Chargers greatly underachieved over the last two seasons, and head coach Anthony Lynn finally took the fall. There’s optimism new head coach Brandon Staley can help the team improve, and Justin Herbert was spectacular under center in his rookie campaign. Unfortunately, the Chargers still have to contend with Patrick Mahomes in the AFC West, and they also have several major free-agent decisions to make, led by Melvin Ingram and Hunter Henry.


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While Tennessee returned to the playoffs, they were unable to improve upon their playoff success from last year. The loss of offensive coordinator Arthur Smith could really hurt, and it also remains to be seen how long Derrick Henry can keep up his current workload. Prominent free agents Corey Davis, Jonnu Smith, and Desmond King bring some uncertainty to the offseason.


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Mike McCarthy’s first year at the helm couldn’t have gone much worse. Jerry Jones has decided to stick with him, and the big offseason task will be locking up Dak Prescott, who missed most of the year due to a nasty ankle injury. New defensive coordinator Dan Quinn will have a lot of pressure, but he’s playing with house money after the unit’s awful 2020 performance.


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The loss of Tom Brady overshadowed a series of opt-outs that hamstrung the Patriots in 2020. Bill Belichick has plenty of cap room to work with this offseason, but also a lot of holes to fill, including quarterback. With Belichick’s ability to work magic with personnel moves, it will be an intriguing offseason.


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The Steelers floundered in the second half of 2020, and offensive coordinator Randy Fichtner was one of the casualties. Ben Roethlisberger seems desperate to right the ship, but the team is in salary cap purgatory with multiple offensive linemen and JuJu Smith-Schuster likely to depart.


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After a disappointing 2020, head coach Mike Zimmer and quarterback Kirk Cousins could be headed toward a make-or-break season. The Vikings defense saw major regression, partially due to injuries. Still, the team could lose Eric Wilson and Anthony Harris in free agency and still need to address some offensive line issues.


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Matt Rhule had some ups and downs in his first year as head coach, but generally got positive reviews for his work on a rebuilding team. It remains to be seen if Teddy Bridgewater is the answer at quarterback, and the team has to do something about the pending free agency of Curtis Samuel and multiple starting offensive linemen. The return of Christian McCaffrey from injury, along with the wideout tandem of D.J. Moore and Robby Anderson should make things easier no matter who the quarterback is in 2021.


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Arizona fell short of the playoffs, and are looking at some huge potential losses in free agency, most notable Patrick Peterson, Haason Reddick, and Kenyan Drake. The team did make progress in the second season with Kliff Kingsbury and Kyler Murray, but anything short of a playoff berth in 2021 would be a huge letdown.


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After years of stagnating under Dan Quinn, the Falcons hope new head coach Arthur Smith can take the team to the next level. The team will try to right the ship with veterans Matt Ryan and Julio Jones, but there could be big changes to the complementary pieces as the organization tries to get back on track.


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Head coach Matt Nagy did just enough to stick around, though it remains to be seen if Mitchell Trubisky did the same. The team has seemingly wasted a top defense over the last few seasons with the inconsistency of the offense, and the potential loss of free-agent wide receiver Allen Robinson could be a dagger. 


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For the second consecutive year, the Raiders looked like potential contenders early in the season only to collapse late. Derek Carr did show great improvement in his third season under Jon Gruden, though there have been rumors the team is looking to find something better at quarterback. The roster is lightyears ahead of where it was when Gruden came on board but still seems well behind the rival Chiefs in the AFC West.


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The Eagles could be headed toward a restart if they trade Carson Wentz after already firing head coach Doug Pederson. It’s incredible to think just how quickly things have gone downhill in Philly, and the hiring of new head coach Nick Sirianni didn’t exactly get rave reviews. It remains to be seen if Jalen Hurts is the future, but the teams seem likely to run with him in 2021.


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Denver has four straight losing seasons since Gary Kubiak’s departure, and desperately needed better decision making at the top. New GM George Paton has some big decisions to make, including quarterback, where Drew Lock has struggled in two seasons. The team could also lose free agent safety Justin Simmons, and Von Miller’s future is also in doubt. Regardless, head coach Vic Fangio probably won’t have much longer to fix things going into his third year.


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The terrible division aside, Washington’s playoff berth in 2020 was truly remarkable considering all the issues they had. Many of those same issues remain in 2021 with Washington’s future at quarterback unclear and several prominent free agents headed toward free agency. There’s still reason for optimism with Ron Rivera at the helm and a tremendous front seven on defense.


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Cincinnati didn’t make much progress in 2020, but they have to be optimistic about the play of Joe Burrow prior to his season-ending knee injury. The first order of business this offseason should be fixing the offensive line, and the team also has several holes on defense that need addressing.


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Daniel Jones didn’t make the progress that the Giants hoped in his sophomore season, though the loss of Saquon Barkley to injury didn’t help. Fans are optimistic about the fight that New York showed under head coach Joe Judge, but improving Jones’ supporting cast should be a big priority this offseason.


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The hiring of new head coach Robert Saleh got rave reviews, but he needs more talent to worth with. The team seems likely to move on from Sam Darnold at quarterback, but regardless of the quarterback in 2021, desperately need to improve the rest of the offensive roster. Saleh’s impact is expected to be felt immediately on defense, where the Jets made some inexcusable errors last season under Gregg Williams.


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Urban Meyer finally made the jump to the NFL, and it’s easy to see why with the draft capital and cap room that the Jaguars have this offseason. It would be an upset if the team didn’t draft Clemson star Trevor Lawerence first overall, but the roster is likely to be a work in progress next season.


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The previous Lions regime hasn’t left the team in a great place, though they did already make a big splash this offseason by trading Matthew Stafford to the Rams for Jared Goff and a huge draft haul. The team could still lose their top three wideouts, led by Kenny Golladay, in free agency, and have a lot of overpaid defensive players who disappointed after joining Matt Patricia. Head coach Dan Campbell will need time.


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The Texans head coaching job seemed like a dead end this offseason with little cap room or draft picks, and star quarterback Deshaun Watson desperately wanting out of Houston. New head David Culley has paid his dues but will have almost no chance in 2021 if the team doesn’t keep Watson around.

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